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Thursday, April 20, 2017

StreetInsider.com: UPDATE: Maxim Group Starts Nxt-ID, Inc. ($NXTD) at Buy, Says "Positioned to Benefit From Changes in Payments Industry"

StreetInsider.com: UPDATE: Maxim Group Starts Nxt-ID, Inc. ($NXTD) at Buy, Says "Positioned to Benefit From Changes in Payments Industry"
(Updated - April 20, 2017 7:42 AM EDT)
(updated to add analyst comment)
Maxim Group initiates coverage on Nxt-ID, Inc. (NASDAQ: NXTD) with a Buy rating and a price target of $4.25.
The analyst believes the company's Smartcard technology has been validated following a large purchase order from WorldVentures. Furthermore the analyst believes the company pipeline is solid and expects the acquisition of Fit Pay will enhance NXTD's expertise in secured payment tech as well as mobile payments for wearables.
For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Nxt-ID, Inc. click here. For more ratings news on Nxt-ID, Inc. click here.
Shares of Nxt-ID, Inc. closed at $1.58 yesterday.



Source: StreetInsider.com

SoundView Technology Group Update on NXT-ID (NASDAQ: $NXTD); From Technology to Revenue

SoundView Technology Group Update on NXT-ID (NASDAQ: $NXTD); From Technology to Revenue



BOSTON - April 20, 2017 (investorideas.com Newswire) SoundView Technology Group (http://soundview.co) releases the following company update for NXT-ID, Inc. (NASDAQ:NXTD).




NXT-ID (NXTD $1.51)
FROM TECHNOLOGY TO REVENUE
KRIS TUTTLE, APRIL 19, 2017

Despite a positive update, a strategic merger agreement and major sequential quarterly growth shares of Nxt-ID have declined 25% over the past week. After years of being in the development stage the company is reporting very large YoY and sequential increases in revenue. The consensus view is that investors fear additional shares coming to market or a financing. But the cash flow profile of the company is now very different. Consistent high margin revenue will enable them to improve rather than impair their balance sheet.

Nxt-ID filed their 10K for 2016 and held an online presentation to review results, discuss current business plans including the proposed merger with Fit Pay and take some questions from their analysts.

We covered the Q4 results in a prior note but it's worth reiterating. With the Q4 results, Nxt-ID transitioned from a no-revenue development-stage technology company to one generating material revenues ($4.5M in the quarter ended December.)

Here is a reminder of the highlights from the Q4 report:

The headline number of $4.5M in revenue compares with $3.2M in Q3 and nominal revenues a year ago. Revenues for the full year 2016 were $7.7M compared with less than $1M in 2015.

LogicMark - Most of the growth in Q4 was driven by LogicMark which continues to be a consistent and strong performer. We are expecting (and modeling) continued linear growth for LogicMark in Q1 and Q2. We could see a step up in LogicMark revenues beginning in later in 2017 with expanded distribution and strong one-time purchase products for PERS.

WorldVentures - An initial shipment of cards was delivered in Q4 for WorldVentures to complete their testing. The exact timing of the major release of the WV flye card will depend on the completion of tests.

In short, LogicMark is steady and growing with WorldVentures beginning to kick in with volume shipments.

The FitPay Combination
FitPay is a technology platform that enables contactless payments on mobile and wearable devices. The platform relies on the tokenization scheme made popular by Android, Apple and Samsung Pay. Thus making contactless payments possible on over 10M retail POS terminals.

The company has gone a step further in creating more open infrastructure (API and SDK) that allow their platform to be tailored for uses other than payments. For example, applications like access control in hotel rooms, office buildings and public transit.

FitPay also brings a back-end integration and relationships with service providers and card issuers. This area is one of the most difficult parts of making payments work for the consumer. Combining these integrations with Nxt-ID device level technologies can create uniquely capable products in this emerging space.

Longer term, the most interesting part of the merger may be how it changes the management team and culture of the company. The management of FitPay has deep experience in payments. The CEO, Michael Orlando, was recently a senior VP at CyberSource and the CTO, Scott Stevelinck, served as the Chief Technical Architect at Visa. There are more members of the FitPay team with strong backgrounds in the space and skills that would greatly expand and compliment what's in place today at Nxt-ID.

Until the transaction is finalized and the team settles we can't yet be sure how the staffing and roles will play out. But retaining and mixing in some of the very capable team to essentially run with the payments side of the business would be a huge asset for the combined company.

Some cynics have asked us why FitPay would merge with Nxt-ID. Our speculation is that FitPay may have leaned just a bit too heavily on the wearables market (especially the non-Apple watch part of it) and this is an area that is developing more slowly than industry experts anticipated. Consumers adoption of new technologies is hard to predict and often not linear. Wearables will certainly be commonplace, but timing of mass market acceptance is unknown.

We see the FitPay transaction as a major change for Nxt-ID, one that puts them more convincingly on the path to be a $100M+ revenue company with the assets and management team to run it.

Model Updates, Valuation & Conclusion
Nxt-ID management doesn't give forward guidance. However, we know that the LogicMark business has been predictable and we will have two quarters of inventory build to enable the official launch of the WorldVentures flye card sometime in Q3. That should support very strong YoY growth in Q1 and Q2 of 2017.

1H 2017 revenues will handily exceed the entire 2016 and for the full year 2017 is shaping up to be up 3x 2016.

We've updated our IV model to reflect recent results and refined expectations for 2017 and beyond. We'll have to do it again once FitPay closes and we get another quarter or two of operating results.

Our IV estimate remains $18/share. The updated model is below.


Additional Disclosures
SoundView serves as a strategic advisor to NXT-ID and provides advisory and other services to the company including strategy advice, company positioning, investor communication methods and ongoing technology and market research. SoundView employees do not have positions or other vested interest in NXT-ID stock at the time this report was published. (see back page for more general disclosures.)

ABOUT SOUNDVIEW RESEARCH
SoundView conducts independent research - mostly on emerging technologies. We like thematic-driven companies where technology is involved and use analysis to identify the most promising investment opportunities.

Our business model is combination of subscription fees along with some direct investments and advisory fees. We measure our success by the quality of our analysis, accuracy of the conclusions and the size and influence of our audience. We apply our own proven approach to valuation that we call intrinsic value (IV) for informing investment decisions and optimizing portfolio management.

Contact:
Kris Tuttle
SoundView Technology Group
kris@soundview.co
+1-617-828-6462

NXT- ID Inc Contact:
Corporate info: info@nxt-id.com

Media:
D. Van Zant
+1-800-665-0411
press@nxt-id.com

Disclaimer/Disclosure: Investorideas.com is a digital publisher of third party sourced news, articles and equity research as well as creates original content, including video, interviews and articles. Original content created by investorideas is protected by copyright laws other than syndication rights. Our site does not make recommendations for purchases or sale of stocks, services or products. Nothing on our sites should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell products or securities. All investment involves risk and possible loss of investment. This site is currently compensated for news publication and distribution, social media and marketing, content creation and more. Contact each company directly regarding content and press release questions. Disclosure is posted for each compensated news release, content published /created if required but otherwise the news was not compensated for and was published for the sole interest of our readers and followers. More disclaimer info: http://www.investorideas.com/About/Disclaimer.asp.  Disclosure: Nxt-ID, Inc. (NXTD)  is a long term paid news publication and PR client of Investorideas.com. Renewed October 1, 2016 - see details at http://www.investorideas.com/About/News/Clientspecifics.asp




Payment News : KinerjaPay Corp. (OTC: $KPAY) Founder and CEO Speaking at Parkpine Capital's 2017 Global Ventures Summit in Bali, Indonesia

Payment News : KinerjaPay Corp.  (OTC: $KPAY) Founder and CEO Speaking at Parkpine Capital's 2017 Global Ventures Summit in Bali, Indonesia



JAKARTA, Indonesia April 20, 2017 – (Investorideas.com Newswire)  KinerjaPay Corp., (OTC:  KPAY), a digital payment and ecommerce platform, ("KinerjaPay" or the "Company") today announced that it will be participating in the Global Ventures Summit 2017. The event will be held at the Bali Nusa Dua Convention Center, in Bali, Indonesia, April 19 through the 21.

The Global Ventures Summit was created to connect influencers of the highest growth startup ecosystems in the world and enable innovative startups to access venture capital professionals, funded technology startup founders, and policy makers in the freshest tech scenes on the planet. The Global Ventures Summit is a business unit of Parkpine Capital.

Parkpine Capital aims to raise funds to help connect the SE ecosystem with the valley and invest at the same ticket size in seed and pre-seed as Silicon Valley. Over US$ 3 billion in represented funds from 25 Silicon Valley VC's, 50 International angel investors, 100 companies, and LP's, 4000 attendees will make it to the Global Ventures Summit.

Edwin Ng, Chairman and CEO for KinerjaPay Corp., will provide conference attendees with an update about the Company's progress, specifically focused on the issues associated with managing an Indonesian operation trading as a US listed company. The Company is currently scheduled to give its presentation at 11:30 AM.

Mr. Ng commented on the Company's participation in the event, "The Global Ventures Summit is the leading conferences for startup companies and investors in Indonesia, and includes notable speakers from high profile companies, like Google, IBM, Crowdfunder, Intel, and IMF, and I am excited to be a part of it. KinerjaPay continues to make significant progress in Indonesia's ecommerce and financial services sector, and I am very much looking forward to discussing the Company with conference attendees."

The Indonesian economy generates nearly $1 trillion annually, however only 42% of the 250+ million citizens have bank accounts and only 5% have credit cards. KinerjaPay's network of payment channels and mobile apps allow un-banked Indonesian consumers and business to shop and pay bills quickly, safely and conveniently.


About KinerjaPay
KinerjaPay enables consumers to "Pay, Play and Buy" through its secure web portal and mobile applications. Based in Indonesia, the Company provides easy and convenient payment solution while shopping online at its marketplace platform. With its current omni-channel platform, users can perform various payment services such as credit card bill payment, utility, phone bill, healthcare insurance and direct transfer to anyone at their convenience. KinerjaPay is also planning to launch other eCommerce verticals such as travel market, delivery services, and online gaming in the near future. The Company's services are available through its mobile applications and on its website at http://www.kinerjapay.com

Notice Regarding Forward-Looking Statements 
This press release may contain forward-looking statements, about KPAY's expectations, beliefs or intentions regarding, among other things, its product development efforts, business, financial condition, results of operations, strategies or prospects. In addition, from time to time, KPAY or its representatives have made or may make forward-looking statements, orally or in writing. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as "believe," "expect," "intend," "plan," "may," "should" or "anticipate" or their negatives or other variations of these words or other comparable words or by the fact that these statements do not relate strictly to historical or current matters. These forward-looking statements may be included in, but are not limited to, various filings made by KPAY with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, press releases or oral statements made by or with the approval of one of KPAY's authorized executive officers. Forward-looking statements relate to anticipated or expected events, activities, trends or results as of the date they are made. Because forward-looking statements relate to matters that have not yet occurred, these statements are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause KPAY's actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Many factors could cause KPAY 's actual activities or results to differ materially from the activities and results anticipated in such forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, the factors summarized in KPAY 's filings with the SEC. In addition, KPAY operates in an industry sector where securities values are highly volatile and may be influenced by economic and other factors beyond its control. KPAY does not undertake any obligation to publicly update these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Please see the risk factors associated with an investment in our securities which are included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K as filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on February 11, 2016.

For more information, please visit our website http://www.kinerjapay.co. There you will find access to all of our past press releases and SEC filings regarding the activities discussed in this letter.

Media Contact:
KinerjaPay Corp.
+62-8229-777-0098

This news is published on the Investorideas.com Newswire - a global digital news source for investors and business leaders
Disclaimer/Disclosure: Investorideas.com is a digital publisher of third party sourced news, articles and equity research as well as creates original content, including video, interviews and articles. Original content created by investorideas is protected by copyright laws other than syndication rights. Our site does not make recommendations for purchases or sale of stocks, services or products. Nothing on our sites should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell products or securities. All investment involves risk and possible loss of investment. This site is currently compensated for news publication and distribution, social media and marketing, content creation and more. Contact each company directly regarding content and press release questions. Disclosure is posted for each compensated news release, content published /created if required but otherwise the news was not compensated for and was published for the sole interest of our readers and followers. More disclaimer info: http://www.investorideas.com/About/Disclaimer.asp
Additional info regarding BC Residents and global Investors: Effective September 15 2008 - all BC investors should review all OTC and Pink sheet listed companies for adherence in new disclosure filings and filing appropriate documents with Sedar. Read for more info: http://www.bcsc.bc.ca/release.aspx?id=6894. Global investors must adhere to regulations of each country.



Wednesday, April 19, 2017

4/20 News Alert; Directory of Canadian, US and global Cannabis and Hemp Stocks Now Available to Retail Investors

 4/20 News Alert; Directory of Canadian, US and global Cannabis and Hemp Stocks Now Available to Retail Investors    

Point Roberts, WA, Delta BC - April 19, 2017 - Investorideas.com, a global news source and investor resource covering actively traded sectors announces for 4/20 that its  cannabis /hemp stock directory is now available to retail investors.  

The directory, which features Canadian listed, US listed and global cannabis stocks is available to Investors as part of the annual membership or in a PDF.

Investorideas.com and 420 Cannabis Investor ideas www.420cannabisinvestorideas.com
are also creating a free directory /resource for investors following the sector that also includes experts and research analysts in the sector.




Marijuana/Hemp Stocks Directory Preview
22nd Century Group Inc. (NYSE MKT:XXII) is a plant biotechnology company focused on technology which allows it to increase or decrease the level of nicotine in tobacco plants and the level of cannabinoids in cannabis plants through genetic engineering and plant breeding. The Company’s primary mission is to reduce the harm caused by smoking. 22nd Century currently owns or exclusively controls more than 200 issued patents and more than 50 pending patent applications around the world. The Company’s strong IP position led to a licensing agreement with British American Tobacco (“BAT”), the world’s second largest tobacco company.
3DX Industries Inc. (OTC: DDDX) is focused on the additive metal manufacturing segment within the manufacturing industry. 3DX has the capability of manufacturing a wide variety of products using its 3D metal printing system, 3D composite printing as well as more traditional methods of precision manufacturing. 3DX offers additive and subtractive manufacturing options as well as product design, engineering and assembly services to its customers.  Cannabis: Has completed the development and design of a new and innovative product used for recovering excess heat from high energy grow lights. The part was designed specifically for the legalized cannabis markets including medical marijuana using the company's 3D Metal printing -- Binder Additive manufacturing process and is expected to be installed in select licensed facilities for real world testing in the coming months.
ABATTIS BIOCEUTICALS (OTC:ATTBF) is a specialty biotechnology company with capabilities through its wholly owned subsidiaries of cultivating, licensing and marketing proprietary ingredients, bio-similar compounds, patented equipment and consulting services to medicinal markets in North America. The Company is positioned to capitalize on the fast growing trend toward marijuana legalization in the United States and for medicinal use in Canada and international jurisdictions, by supplying and partnering with companies to employ its mass cultivation systems, extraction equipment/technology, and strategic marketing support to licensed growers. The Company also has an extensive pipeline of high-quality products and intellectual property for the rapidly expanding botanical drug market. We follow strict standard operating protocols, and adhere to the applicable laws of Canada and foreign jurisdictions.
Acology Inc (OTC:ACOL) markets and sells the TSOS Container™ (The Science of Storage).This container is the first-ever FDA approved polypropylene air-tight, water-tight, smell-proof delivery and storage container with a built-in grinder. It is manufactured from medical-grade No. 5 polypropylene resin, which is non-porous and non-leaching. These containers are portable and affordable. he Medtainer™ allows patients to store, grind and pour a variety of medications, including pills and all sizes and solidity, herbal medications and teas and even coffee and spices! The Medtainer™ can be ordered in with a certified child-resistant cap. Each Medtainer™ is water-proof and smell proof. Caregivers who are responsible for ensuring their patients medication regimens are universally pleased with the how easy and effective the Medtainer™ grind medications. It is an excellent solution for patients with dysphasia due to cognitive disorders or brain injuries, are in hospice or palliative situations and for anyone who would rather not swallow whole pills. The MedTainer™ was originally developed for geriatric and pediatric patients who had difficulty swallowing pills or needed an effective alternative to costly name-brand medications. The MedTainer™ has been sold and is being successfully used throughout the United States, Canada, Mexico and South America and Europe. Our association with the Medical Marijuana community was an unexpected windfall that has given Acology, Inc. the necessary funding to expand into the growing hospice and palliative care markets, and to help countless patients who are living at home or in small home-like settings and need help swallowing pills.
Advantis Corp (OTC:ADVT) develops products and works with developing companies to provide innovative healthcare products, holistic pain management solutions, and enhance the footprint in the evolving legal cannabis business. Advantis acquires ownership in developing companies that work within the nutraceutical and the alternative health care industries; consulting with these organizations to improve their product lines, expand their distribution channels through internal partnership agreements, and heighten brand value.
AeroGrow International, Inc. (OTC:AERO) Headquartered in Boulder, Colorado, AeroGrow International, Inc. is the leader in the rapidly growing indoor gardening category. AeroGardens allow anyone to grow farmer's market fresh herbs, salad greens, tomatoes, chili peppers, flowers and more, indoors, year-round, so simply and easily that no green thumb is required. With an AeroGarden... you can grow anything! In April 2013, AeroGrow entered into a strategic partnership with Scotts Miracle-Gro to continue to expand the indoor gardening market.
AFFINOR GROWERS (CSE:AFI; OTC:RSSFF) is focused on growing high quality crops such as romaine lettuce, spinach, strawberries and high quality medical Marijuana. Affinor is committed to becoming a pre-eminent grower, using exclusive vertical farming techniques.
Agritek Holdings Inc (OTC:AGTK) a fully reporting Company and pioneer within the medicinal marijuana space provides innovative patient and agricultural solutions seeks to be the leader in Compassionate Care Technology for the medicinal marijuana industry. Agritek Holdings provides real estate management and health and wellness product lines through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Agritek Holdings Inc.  Agritek Holdings Inc. does not directly grow, harvest, or distribute or sell cannabis or any substances that violate United States law or the Controlled Substances Act, nor does it intend to do so in the future.
ALGAE DYNAMICS CORP (OTCQB: ADYNF) is currently engaged in the commercialization of our proprietary BioSilo® algae cultivation system for the high volume, low cost production of pure contaminant-free algae biomass. This biomass is high in Omega-3s DHA/DPA, vitamins, minerals and antioxidants, all of which are in demand by the growing multibillion dollar food/beverage and health care sectors. Our integrated BioSilo® manufacturing system provides low cost algae biomass production with modest capital cost requirements compared to conventional approaches. Furthermore, our "controlled outcomes" technology provides ultra-high purity algae biomass, differentiating it from other producers in the market. Following completion of a commercial-scale production facility we intend to produce algae biomass for sale into the functional additive and supplement markets, focusing on Chlorella and Omega-3 oil.
Alliance Growers Corp. (CSE:ACG) is a cannabis company dedicated to building shareholder value through its 4 Pillars business strategy. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is publicly traded on the CSE under the symbol ACG. The company’s head office is in Vancouver, BC and its interest in a marijuana production facility in Kelowna, BC.

The complete marijuana/hemp stock list available for purchase in a PDF format:

Investorideas.com tracks companies in high profile trading sectors and makes ongoing additions to its stock directories for each sector.  Listing for the stock directories include companies on the TSX, OTC, NYSE, NASDAQ and global stock exchanges.

Investorideas.com global stock directories are part of the membership program on the site, accessed either by login and password or available in PDF format.  The directories include stocks trading on the TSX, OTC, NASDAQ, NYSE and other recognized global stock exchanges, giving retail investors a wide variety of stocks to review. http://www.investorideas.com/membership/

The directories are not meant as recommendations but as a research tool to discover opportunities and trading ideas in a particular sector.

About Investorideas.com - News that Inspires Big Ideas
Investorideas.com is a meeting place for global investors, featuring news, stock directories, video, podcasts, company profiles, interviews and more in leading sectors.

Investorideas.com cannabis/marijuana and hemp content now also includes its http://cannabisstocknews.blogspot.com on Blogger.com, a cannabis investor group on Linkedin.com, the 420 Cannabis Investor ideas www.420cannabisinvestorideas.com, and the AI site Global Cannabis Investing at www.Globalcannabisinvesting.com

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Disclaimer/Disclosure: Investorideas.com is a digital publisher of third party sourced news, articles and equity research as well as creates original content, including video, interviews and articles. Original content created by investorideas is protected by copyright laws other than syndication rights. Our site does not make recommendations for purchases or sale of stocks, services or products. Nothing on our sites should be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell products or securities. All investment involves risk and possible loss of investment. This site is currently compensated for news publication and distribution,social media and marketing, content creation and more. Contact each company directly regarding content and press release questions. Disclosure is posted for each compensated news release, content published /created if required but otherwise the news was not compensated for and was published for the sole interest of our readers and followers. More disclaimer info: http://www.investorideas.com/About/Disclaimer.asp. Disclosure SING is a paid featured profile company for PR and news and SING and ADYNF are paid featured companies on the 420 directory www.420cannabisinvestorideas.com    

Additional info regarding BC Residents and global Investors: Effective September 15 2008 - all BC investors should review all OTC and Pink sheet listed companies for adherence in new disclosure filings and filing appropriate documents with Sedar. Read for more info: http://www.bcsc.bc.ca/release.aspx?id=6894.  Global investors must adhere to regulations of each country.

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Marijuana / Hemp Stocks

Like Marijuana / Hemp Stocks? View our Marijuana / Hemp Stocks Directory
Global Cannabis Investing - features Investor Ideas Cannabis news
















Renewable Energy Expert Corner with Peter Lynch; “My Portfolio Selection Criteria and the #1 Rule of Investing”

Renewable Energy Expert Corner with Peter Lynch; “My Portfolio Selection Criteria and the #1 Rule of Investing”

New York, New York Investorideas.com and Renewableenergystocks.com release the next edition of Renewable energy expert corner with Peter Lynch.

The Renewable Energy Expert Corner with Peter Lynch can be found at http://www.investorideas.com/Companies/RenewableEnergy/ and www.renewableenergystocks.com

Back in 2010 – 2013 I explained our criteria for rating all of our solar and other renewable energy (RE) stocks. At that time there were seven stocks that met my criteria - "The Solar Seven" these were the strongest stocks in the industry at that time based upon my criteria.

The “solar seven” ended up 2010 up 42% vs the major markets being up 14% - a 3X outperformance.

For the 4 year period we were up 56% per year while the market was up 14% - a 4 X outperformance.

My rating system to select the "strongest" stocks is a proprietary combination of:

  1. Various relative strength measures
  2. Some technical measures and
  3. A number of fundamental parameters

What we have learned since that time in 2010 is that there are always stocks going up somewhere, even in a terrible market and even in a weak underperforming sector (solar) and if you select the "strongest" stocks in a given market segment you will, on average, do quite well.

Even if, the strongest stocks are all umbrella companies and we are in a drought - regardless of what you "think" you know or "think" should be - always remember that "what is - is" and always buy the strongest stocks in a sector or market. You may not always know "why" something happens, but you will, on average, do much better than most investors and most likely better than the market.

It is possible today with all the information that is available at every moment (much of which is NOT well thought out) to actually over analyze a situation and because there is so much data available it can lead to "analysis paralysis". Sometimes it is easier and more profitable to not think as much and follow simply "what is". Sounds easy, but in reality it is very difficult.

As Yogi Berra once said, "you can't hit and think at the same time" - sounds silly but it may be true. He is a legendary Hall of Fame baseball player and it worked for him.

What is important to understand is when to buy them and when to sell them and the basis for knowing when to buy or sell something is based upon simple supply and demand. Stocks go UP when there are more buyers than sellers and stocks go DOWN when there are more sellers than buyers – it is just that simple.

This generally requires utilizing some form of system and being consistent in following the system. The system can be as simple as buying when a stock goes ABOVE its 50 day MA and selling when it goes BELOW, but an investor needs to utilize some form of system that takes the emotion out of buying and selling. When buying stocks – remember – you and your emotions are your worst enemy.

What you should NOT do is to buy stocks because you "think" you know what they should be doing. A perfect example of this type of investor thinking is the great General Electric (GE).

Most people would say that it is a “great” company and, in fact, one of the best companies in the world. But given that we all “know” it is a great company – is it also a great stock?

The answer is absolutely NOT! Over a recent ten year period (2003 – 2013) General Electric stock returned a NEGATIVE 15% to its shareholders! In fact it has been a terrible stock. It did better than only 3 other stocks in the DOW 30 and over the same 10 years the DOW was up approximately 70%, roughly 6X better than GE.

Remember. It is as simple as the fact that there are more sellers than buyers or more sellers than buyers - that is the ONLY thing that you know for sure at any time. If you make your decisions based upon emotion or what you "think" a stock should do, that will, without question, leave you with far less money than when you started.

You have to look at "what is" (whether you like it or not) and NOT what you think should be.

Remember the two key rules from the legendary investor Warren Buffet on how to make money in the stock market:

1. Never lose money*
2. Never forget rule #1

*What Buffet “really” means by "never lose money" is to cut your losses short (minimize your losses) and let your winners run as long as they are technically strong (maximize your return).

Market Psychology
The HARDEST THING for investors to do is know when to sell. That is why you have to set specific, non-emotional prices to exit if things do not go right. You cannot allow your emotions to get involved and take over your thinking.

Remember: markets fool the majority of investors by "Climbing a Wall of Worry" which is exactly what it is doing now. Once losses start and keep getting worse then  investors generally get on the "Slopes of Hope" and hope that their stocks comes back - trust me, the "I hope my stock comes back" technique will NOT work.

Trust in your system and follow it regardless of what you think "should happen". Once you try to impose your will on your portfolio you will stop paying attention to what is most important – and what is most important to understand is “what is actually happeningNOT what you think should be happening.

If you looked at the portfolios of the most successful investors you would, in general, see the following pattern:
Approximately 80% of trades would be either small losses and/or small gains and approximately 20% would be very significant gains. This is exactly how we dramatically outperformed the markets in 2013, 2012, 2011 and 2010.

Current Market Update

At the current time the general market is in a “higher” risk status, based upon my technical indicators.

This does NOT mean that the market is going to have a major correction, stock markets can and have stayed in similar high risk status for months and even longer. As a result you may want to set your stop loss points closer to protect the portfolio’s profits. (I will have more on stop loss points in the next article) – in short they (stop loss points) are the “KEY” to the most important stock market skill – cutting your losses and letting your profits run”.

Remember – you will never be able to catch the very bottom of a stock’s movement or the very top. When that happens it is plain and simple – luck. The key thing to always keep the number one rule of investing foremost in your mind:

Cut your losses short and let your profits run

We have been in a Bull Market since March 2009, close to 8 years. The average Bull Market is 3.8 years – so this market is growing long in the tooth. But I have not seen any “serious” indications of the end of this market. But when the market is in a higher risk area – the changes can come quickly – so we have to adopt a defensive posture.

Especially then the stocks in our portfolio will likely be higher Beta stocks.  Beta measures how volatile a stock is – for example if a stock you owned had a Beta of 1.7 – it would mean that it is on average 1.7 times MORE volatile than the general market (the market always has a Beta of 1). This high beta is good on the upside and bad on the downside so an investor needs to be aware of this increased risk.

 There is no way to really predict the future and its timing – but renewable energy (RE)  is the fastest growth area in the world, even in the U.S.- last year (2016) year was the first year ever that RE put in more capacity than fossil fuel sources worldwide and this trend is accelerating. The trend has changed and for the first time RE is cheaper than all other forms of fossil fuel energy and this price advantage and numerous addition societal benefits will make it a terrible business decision to NOT choose RE power generation. Businesses and utilities all over the world agree and are accelerating their use of RE.

The general press in the U.S. has still not caught on to the current “RE boom” or is “scared” to write about it for fear of offending some financial backers or their media bosses – but the tide has turned and the future will be renewable and fossil fuels will fade away and become, well, fossils.

Change is coming, like it or not! As a result, there will be huge investment opportunities in the RE field that will be open to savvy investors. In my opinion, we are seeing the end of the age of fossil fuels and the beginning of the age of Renewable Energy

Background Analysis Notes
Keep in mind there are two basic types of equity (stock) analysis. Below are a brief description of each and its primary purpose:

Fundamental Analysis (“what to buy”) - this is the analysis of the fundamental financial condition of a company to identify which stocks you may want to buy when the timing is right. This form of analysis will give you NO timely indication of the best time to buy a stock or sell a stock. It utilizes a company’s past numbers to try and project what the future will be.

Technical Analysis (“when to buy”) - this form of analysis will tell you "when" to buy a stock and when to sell the stock. It will do this by showing you (in chart format) the basic interaction of supply and demand and when the two change and shift which will indicate a time to buy or a time to sell.
Mr. Lynch has worked, for 36 years as a Wall Street security analyst, an independent security analyst and private investor in small emerging technology companies. He has been actively involved in following developments in the renewable energy sector since 1977 and is regarded as an expert in this field. He was the contributing editor for 17 years to the Photovoltaic Insider Report, an early publication in PV that was directed at industrial subscribers, such as major energy companies, utilities and governments around the world. He is currently a private investor and has from time to time been a financial/technology consultant to a number of companies. He can be reached via e-mail at: SOLARJPL@aol.com. Please visit his website for the promotion of solar energy – www.sunseries.net.

The Renewable Energy Expert Corner with Peter Lynch can be found at http://www.investorideas.com/Companies/RenewableEnergy/ and www.renewableenergystocks.com


Peter Lynch – Renewable energy expert corner 

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